SignalMacro

CBOE Nasdaq Volatility $21.98 ↓ 5.5% 6th %ile (extreme_greed) • KXNASDAQ100Y 4.0% — 32,000 to 32,499.99

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 4.0% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 32000 and 32499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

What changed

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 4.0% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 32000 and 32499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? Percentile: 6th in 90d range | Regime: extreme_greed

Why it matters

Volatility up 5.5% to 24th percentile signals complacency, while Kalshi market prices 4.0% odds on a narrow Nasdaq-100 r

Sources

futures